Why Experts Make Errors
نویسندگان
چکیده
Expert latent f ingerprint examiners were presented with fingerprints taken from real criminal cases. Half of the prints had been previously judged as individualizations and the other half as exclusions. We re-presented the same prints to the same experts who had judged them previously, but provided biasing contextual information in both the individualizations and exclusions. A control set of individualizations and exclusions was also re-presented as part of the study. The control set had no biasing contextual information associated with it. Each expert examined a total of eight past decisions. Two-thirds of the experts made inconsistent decisions. The f indings are discussed in terms of psychological and cognitive vulnerabilities.
منابع مشابه
Committees of Decision Trees
Many intelligent systems are designed to sift through a mass of evidence and arrive at a decision. Certain pieces of evidence may be given more weight than others, and this may aaect the nal decision signiicantly. When than one intelligent agent is available to make a decision, we can form a committee of experts. By combining the diier-ent opinions of these experts, the committee approach can s...
متن کاملCognitive aspects of diagnostics, not just errors.
Dear Editor, The article on “Cognitive Aspects of Diagnostic Errors”1 published in Annals Volume 42 No. 1 did an excellent job linking the decision-making processes of doctors with fi ndings in cognitive psychology about heuristics and biases as written extensively by Kahneman and his team. Much research has since been done in the fi eld of human factors which looked at the decision-making proc...
متن کاملWhat cues do billiard experts use? Conceptual and perceptual judgments of spin
Complex dynamic events are often misunderstood at the perceptual and intuitive level. In spite of these difficulties, experts, such as athletes or billiard players, learn to make very precise dynamic judgments. This study explored the basis of such judgmental abilities using the example of rotational motions (spin) as they occur in billiards. Five experiments were carried out to evaluate two pa...
متن کاملIdentification and Evaluation of Human Errors in Low Voltage Distribution Systems using FUZZY-HEART Technique
Electricity-related occupational accidents are the fifth leading cause of occupational deaths. One of the major causes of occupational accidents is human error. That is why the human role as a cause of the accident is so important and must be considered during risk assessment. The purpose of this study is to present a Fuzzy-HERAT human error assessment method, which can be used to assess the pr...
متن کاملVisualization of Confusion Matrix for Non-Expert Users
Machine Learning techniques can automatically extract information from a variety of multimedia sources, e.g., image, text, sound, video. But it produces imperfect results since the multimedia content can be misinterpreted. Machine Learning errors are commonly measured using confusion matrices. They encode type I and II errors for each class of information to extract. Non-expert users encounter ...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
عنوان ژورنال:
دوره شماره
صفحات -
تاریخ انتشار 2005